Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.212497 0.244164 0.279848 0.323213 0.374724 0.434245 0.508643
2025-11-02 0.163013 0.204203 0.255651 0.325417 0.418757 0.541059 0.716331
2025-11-09 0.134123 0.178435 0.237964 0.325388 0.453267 0.637962 0.933412
2025-11-16 0.114197 0.159108 0.222946 0.322819 0.479877 0.725862 1.158311
2025-11-23 0.099029 0.143253 0.209093 0.317680 0.499282 0.804467 1.388150
2025-11-30 0.090337 0.135262 0.205078 0.326075 0.540703 0.927032 1.730859
2025-12-07 0.080577 0.124079 0.194098 0.320551 0.556266 1.006321 2.014696
2025-12-14 0.073850 0.116769 0.188189 0.322378 0.584902 1.116282 2.399527
2025-12-21 0.067855 0.109861 0.181894 0.322204 0.609227 1.222901 2.815244
2025-12-28 0.063930 0.105973 0.180268 0.330353 0.651723 1.379101 3.416179
2026-01-04 0.060049 0.101683 0.177289 0.335224 0.688079 1.530851 4.071595
2026-01-11 0.056617 0.097803 0.174544 0.340031 0.725175 1.694661 4.840304
2026-01-18 0.053969 0.095172 0.174020 0.349820 0.777094 1.915229 5.919573
2026-01-25 0.050813 0.091255 0.170505 0.352571 0.812831 2.104430 7.009199
2026-02-01 0.047724 0.087149 0.166104 0.352591 0.841703 2.283871 8.181250
2026-02-08 0.044703 0.082875 0.160852 0.349776 0.862481 2.446133 9.398828
2026-02-15 0.041750 0.078462 0.154812 0.344129 0.874262 2.584101 10.614285
2026-02-22 0.040246 0.076885 0.154754 0.353357 0.931353 2.898783 12.967460
2026-03-01 0.037738 0.072973 0.149069 0.347284 0.941169 3.047674 14.576218
2026-03-08 0.036013 0.070579 0.146583 0.349293 0.976969 3.310934 17.127622
2026-03-15 0.034281 0.068024 0.143452 0.349101 1.005850 3.559948 19.878223
2026-03-22 0.033245 0.066907 0.143596 0.358060 1.068049 3.979409 24.378200
2026-03-29 0.032060 0.065355 0.142528 0.363418 1.119415 4.377334 29.323668